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21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)
Encouraging forecasters, political scientists, and students to be more innovative in predicting presidential outcomes.
21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)
Item #: 152810409

21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)

Item #: 152810409

USD 51

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Encouraging forecasters, political scientists, and students to be more innovative in predicting presidential outcomes.
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  • This monograph evolved from the author's peer reviewed, twenty-first century presidential forecast studies. Across 5 elections, the mean and median errors are 0.6 percent. The author's purpose is to encourage forecasters, political scientists, economists, and sophisticated students to be more innovative forecasters. The only prerequisites are an interest in modern American government and knowledge of basic regression analysis. Dr. Walker enhances Fair's voting model by introducing at least one new issue and additional data for each election. For example, the Korean and Vietnam wars were election years. Enhancing Fair's implicit assumptions reduces forecast errors. The analysis confirms that campaigns in only 7 states plus voting histories in 43 states determine most presidential outcomes.
Book formatPaperback
Fiction/nonfictionNon-Fiction
GenrePolitical & Social Sciences
Publication dateAugust, 2024
Pages140
SubgenreComparative Politics
Series titleNo Series
Edition1
PublisherLulu Press
Original languagesEnglish
LanguageEnglish
Is collectibleN
Retail packagingSingle Piece
Assembled product height9 in (22.9 cm)
Assembled product weight0.47 lb (210 grams)
Bisac subject headingPolitical Science

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21st Century Presidential Elections, (Paperback)

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  • Question: What is the publication date of the book?

    Answer: The book is set to be published on August 20, 2024.
  • Question: Who is the target audience for this book?

    Answer: The book is targeted at forecasters, political scientists, economists, and advanced students.
  • Question: What prior knowledge is required to understand the content?

    Answer: A basic understanding of regression analysis and interest in modern American government is required.

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